Will SpinLaunch have a successful launch by market close?
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Ṁ5480Jan 1
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Resolves YES upon any successful launch into a suborbital trajectory, conditional on it being capable to boost to orbit (regardless of if that succeeds). Resolves NO on close
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Spinlaunch isn't even planning on having their full-scale launcher ready until 2026. Only way this market could resolve positively IMO is if I am misunderstanding the question, and launching a prototype satellite or something on Falcon 9 (rather than having a successful test of the rocket that gets spun around) counts as a "successful launch". (IMO it should not.)
@JacksonWagner um... I'm just going to pretend this was a typo, make a new market for 2026 and 2028, but leave this open as is
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