Will Joe Manchin run for Senate next cycle?
Basic
31
11k
Nov 5
2%
chance
Resolves NO if Manchin announces retirement, misses the filing deadline, or makes some other obvious indicator of not running. Resolves YES if he enters the primary for his next eligible term
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bought Ṁ2,000 NO
Given politicians' frequency of changing their minds, I'm not sure that announcing retirement should cause this market to resolve NO.

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