Resolves either when I place such a vote or die
This market is likely correlated with the OR of the following:
The Republican party essentially remade such that they aren't horribly discriminatory to at minimum groups I care about
I become one of those mythical detransitioners AND break up with my partner
The United States becomes a one-party state AND I still live there
I become so obscenely wealthy that it corrupts me
Presumably related
Related questions
Both people and parties change a lot over time. I used to be hardcore leftist and hate Rs with a burning passion, now I'd almost certainly vote R downballot and possibly for president, depending on how extreme the Dem ticket ends up being. I never would have expected that even 2-3 years ago.
It's possible that you'll have a JK Rowling situation where you're initially leftist, but the Overton Window shifts so far to the left that you are (relative to the youth) right wing.
Ex, trans rights becomes passe and even the GOP is on board. But the Dems have shifted so far left that they want lower to sexual age of consent to six.
I think the Republican Party is more likely to collapse entirely or splinter into multiple parties (in which case this presumably resolves NO eventually) than it is to suddenly shift its platform to the left. The Republicans have consistently been the more conservative party since at least 1932 (arguably earlier.) This would be like the Tories and Labour switching party platforms, at this point.
@evergreenemily I don't think it would suddenly shift its platform to the left, but I imagine that the parties' platforms will change over time to eventually become unrecognizable. After all, both parties are already unrecognizable compared to what they started as, and they have switched places in certain areas like racial issues. The question is how soon this will occur: Will the Republican Party become so unrecognizable compared to what it is today that its politics would be tolerable within Olivia's lifetime?
@BuyNakSellDoof I don't! Not fully at least. But honestly I think the party will dissolve before it changes at this point. I don't see how a reversal could happen like it did last century