Resolves YES if Kaladin survives book 5. Resolves NO if Kaladin dies, excluding cases of resurrection. Resolves PROB 50% if he dies but leaves behind a cognitive shadow
People are also trading
Looks like Olivia has a hard task ahead of deciding whether becoming a herald and losing his body counts as survival, resurrection, or becoming a cognitive shadow.
Bought the ''no'' erroneously, it would make no sense if he died given his character arc of choosing life over death.
Stories follow not only the in-universe logic (i.e: what makes most sense to happen from a perspective of someone living in that world), but also our-universe logic (i.e: what makes a good story). While it makes sense from in-universe perspective if Kaladin dies, it would be poor storytelling if the character whose whole arc was about fighting his suicidal tendencies just died.
@SirCryptomind Book isn't out yet; close date was presumably set when we thought it'd be sooner.
The time to kill him off was when he couldn't handle the Fourth Ideal and Teft could surpass him. Probably after Teft had surpassed him, allowing the Windrunners to grow beyond him.
Since that didn't happen, I think it would be very narratively unsatisfying.