Will Tadej Pogacar start at the Giro d'Italia (Tour of Italy) in 2024?
Sports•Cycling•Giro d'Italia
24
217
Ṁ450
May 4
97%
chance

He just has to start stage 1 to resolve this question to yes. He said that he would like to in the past and the team is half Italian, he likes Italy and it's probably way easier to win than the Tour.

Get Ṁ200 play money

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boughtṀ200YES

@egroj I'd sell my position (200 shares) at 90% if you were interested.

opened a Ṁ500 YES at 91% order

@Lion I put an order for 91%, so go ahead

sold Ṁ182 YES

@egroj thanks, done

predicts NO

Surely 98% is too high?

Edit: Ah, p is only 0.26 so this market might be weird for now.

predicts YES

@Eliza Maybe Pogi didn't BREAK THE INTERNET, but clearly Manifold.

bought Ṁ60 of YES
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predicts NO

(He should...)

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