Whatever Musk tweets or reposts, including reposts (the content directly visible in the repost and pictures (videos, podcasts, etc. are excluded) without opening a thread) after market creation/adding the submission, counts. Whatever is visible under "Posts" on his page, even if deleted later, also counts. Replies, etc., do not count.
Please don't submit any obvious answers like "SpaceX" or topics he regulary posts about. [I'll N/A obvious spam and rename.]
Literally submissions will only be based on what Musk directly types on X in his own posts and in the text above reposts. This does not include what other people write or what he uses in replies. Furthermore, it does not include what he says in a video or what is visible in a picture or meme, even if these contain words.
Resolution criteria
I'll be fairly relaxed, but it should be clear and obvious. I.e. if he tweets "the president does[...]," Joe Biden would resolve to yes. However, "Obamacare" won't resolve "Obama." "Transgender" isn't enough to resolve "LGBT," but "LGBTQIA+" and "transgender, [...] homosexuals and bisexuals" would resolve "LGBT." If the submission requires an international context, the submission won't resolve if Musk only mentions a single country. If you need more examples, please feel free to ask.
I'll use my own judgment and might seek input from mods in unclear cases or decide to N/A or resolve to 50%/50%.
I won't bet in this market except to push certain answers in the ranking.
The question closes at the end of Veterans Day [2024-11-11] at 23:59:59 PT. Any submissions without proof by November 13th at 0:00 PST will be resolved as NO.
Only original posts and reposts are considered for this question. Replies do not count.
If you'd like to add a submission but don't have the Mana for it, please do not hesitate to ask. I'm happy to add it 🧡
Quick links:
@Lion Resolves YES, e.g. https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1851970548714139679
@Lion If you're on the edge, I'll also note he's retweeted Doge-themed accounts a ton, e.g. https://x.com/cb_doge/status/1854429832169378206?t=QfW-Ta-T40VmhYp_vcbG_A&s=19
The content in the tweets I've seen isn't doge-related, but the icons & names are certainly clearly visible.
@MugaSofer I'm not on the edge, the submitted tweets aren't relevant. From the description:
it should be clear and obvious. I.e. if he tweets "the president does[...]," Joe Biden would resolve to yes. However, "Obamacare" won't resolve "Obama."
The DOGE might be inspired by Dogecoin, but the tweets aren't about the coin, similar to how Obama and Obamacare are related but distinct. Unless someone can provide proof of a tweet specifically about the cryptocurrency, the answer will be resolved as NO.
@Lion Does it count if he's posting directly about the fact the name is a joke, e.g. https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1851279819277025796?t=d3xjaH6niuaovabPBZPUog&s=19?
After a bit more digging I also found one that directly features a Doge meme, I assume this counts? Or does he have to verbatim say the word "dogecoin"?https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1850718973564006767?t=ovIdCRy3_qzjQoDxiEJsRg&s=19