Will the global financial/economic system experience a shock like 2008 in the next 10 years?
Basic
3
Ṁ252033
51%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Its hard to quantify this exactly. At least according to this article the (mid-term) damage in global economic growth was about 2 trillion USD (https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/a-guide-to-the-financial-crisis--10-years-later/2018/09/10/114b76ba-af10-11e8-a20b-5f4f84429666_story.html). Anything reasonable near that number counts. If you have better ideas to measure this, comment below.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the global financial/economic system experience a shock like 2008 in the next 5 years?
38% chance
Will the global financial/economic system experience a shock like 2008 in the next 20 years?
76% chance
Will the global financial/economic system experience a shock like 2008 in the next 15 years?
82% chance
Will there be a huge economic crisis that will impact the global economy in 2024?
17% chance
Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 15 years?
53% chance
Will there be an international or global crisis in the year 2024?
Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 20 years?
68% chance
Will there be a disaster this year with an economic cost of over $100 billion as of December 31, 2024?
33% chance
Will the World Economy experience at least a full year of deflation in the next 10 years?
18% chance
Will AI cause a financial crash within a decade? (By Oct 2032)
56% chance