Will Simone Collins outrun Trump in her state house race?
2
100Ṁ1010resolved Nov 10
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Simone Collins is running for the PA House as a Republican. She is very likely to lose HD-150, a D+15ish district, but will she outrun Trump?
The metric will be D-R two-way percentage margin for each race
If Trump is not the nominee, then the R candidate will count.
Relevant numbers
2022 state house: D+17
2022 US Senate: D+20
2020 prez: D+18
2016 prez: D+10
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ113 |
