Will Simone Collins outrun Trump in her state house race?
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2
Ṁ60Nov 11
72%
chance
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1W
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Simone Collins is running for the PA House as a Republican. She is very likely to lose HD-150, a D+15ish district, but will she outrun Trump?
The metric will be D-R two-way percentage margin for each race
If Trump is not the nominee, then the R candidate will count.
Relevant numbers
2022 state house: D+17
2022 US Senate: D+20
2020 prez: D+18
2016 prez: D+10
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