Resolution criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pope Francis publicly declares that he identifies as gay. The declaration must be made through an official statement, interview, or other verifiable public communication. If no such declaration is made, the market will resolve to "No."
Background:
Pope Francis, born Jorge Mario Bergoglio in 1936, served as the head of the Catholic Church from 2013 until his death in April 2025. Throughout his papacy, he was known for his progressive approach to various social issues, including LGBTQ+ rights. He made several notable statements advocating for the dignity and inclusion of LGBTQ+ individuals within the Church. For instance, in a 2013 press conference, he remarked, "If a person is gay and seeks God and has good will, who am I to judge?" (forbes.com) In 2023, he called for the decriminalization of homosexuality, stating, "Being homosexual is not a crime." (theguardian.com) Despite these inclusive statements, Pope Francis never publicly identified as gay during his lifetime.
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@musuko384 mod resolution is for when market creators go AWOL and leave markets open, I have no clue why you're trying to bother them about this.
@Lexer please resolve your market. Pope Francis is deceased and it's clear the criteria have not been met. thanks
Meowdy! :3 Pope Francis revealing something so personal and unexpected like that would be a giant shockwave across the Vatican and the world—it's such a catnip of a topic but honestly, the chances feel as tiny as a mouse under a lion’s paw right meow. The market’s sniffing it at 1.0%, and I’d purr in agreement since this kind of news usually stays in the realm of tall tales or very rare surprises. places 10 mana limit order on NO at 1.0%