Will "What good is G-factor if you're dumped in the..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ100Feb 1
7%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post What good is G-factor if you're dumped in the woods? A field report from a camp counselor. is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will "Good Research Takes are Not Sufficient for Go..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "What We Learned Trying to Diff Base and Chat ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Futarchy's fundamental flaw" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "Good if make prior after data instead of before" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "You can't eval GPT5 anymore" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
6% chance
Will "How Well Does RL Scale?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "Three Months In, Evaluating Three Rationalist..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Unexpected Things that are People" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "So You Want To Make Marginal Progress..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
26% chance
Will "Generalized Hangriness: A Standard Rationalis..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance