
Will ""Slow" takeoff is a terrible term for "maybe ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
3
Ṁ1kṀ404resolved Feb 27
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post "Slow" takeoff is a terrible term for "maybe even faster takeoff, actually" is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ30 | |
| 2 | Ṁ20 | |
| 3 | Ṁ0 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "Nice-ish, smooth takeoff (with imperfect safe..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "Slowdown After 2028: Compute, RLVR Uncertaint..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "So You Want To Make Marginal Progress..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
31% chance
Will "Do confident short timelines make sense?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
20% chance
Will "Too Soon" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "You’re probably overestimating how well you u..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "From SLT to AIT: NN generalisation out-of-dis..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Good Research Takes are Not Sufficient for Go..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "Changing the world for the worse" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "Gradual Disempowerment, Shell Games and Flinches" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
7% chance