Will "Gradual Disempowerment, Shell Games and Flinches" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Basic
0
2027
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Gradual Disempowerment, Shell Games and Flinches is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will "Gradual Disempowerment: Systemic Existential ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "Failures in Kindness" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
44% chance
Will "OpenAI #10: Reflections" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
29% chance
Will "What Indicators Should We Watch to Disambigua..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
37% chance
Will "And All the Shoggoths Merely Players" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
38% chance
Will "Cohabitive Games so Far" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
55% chance
Will "The Intelligence Curse" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "Shallow review of live agendas in alignment &..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
61% chance
Will "Struggling like a Shadowmoth" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "Laziness death spirals" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
16% chance