Will "Key takeaways from our EA and alignment resea..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
1
100Ṁ382026
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Key takeaways from our EA and alignment research surveys is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will "How to replicate and extend our alignment fak..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "The Field of AI Alignment: A Postmortem, and ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
28% chance
Will "Takes on "Alignment Faking in Large Language ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "EIS XIII: Reflections on Anthropic’s SAE Rese..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "Making a conservative case for alignment" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Without fundamental advances, misalignment an..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
50% chance
Will "LLMs for Alignment Research: a safety priority?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Optimistic Assumptions, Longterm Planning, an..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
34% chance
Will "Alignment Faking in Large Language Models" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
94% chance
Will "Skills from a year of Purposeful Rationality ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
22% chance