Will "Goodhart's Law in Reinforcement Learning" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
1
Ṁ1kṀ100resolved Feb 11
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Goodhart's Law in Reinforcement Learning is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ15 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "The behavioral selection model for predicting..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
23% chance
Will "How Well Does RL Scale?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
18% chance
Will "Natural emergent misalignment from reward hac..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "The News is Never Neglected" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
7% chance
Will "OpenAI #10: Reflections" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
29% chance
Will "Training a Reward Hacker Despite Perfect Labels" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "OpenAI #12: Battle of the Board Redux" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "The Lethal Reality Hypothesis" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
10% chance
Will "METR's Observations of Reward Hacking in Rece..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "Learnings from starting an AI safety research..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
14% chance