Will "Predictable updating about AI risk" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Mini
3
Ṁ502025
53%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Predictable updating about AI risk is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will "The Checklist: What Succeeding at AI Safety W..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
36% chance
Will "Contra papers claiming superhuman AI forecasting" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "AI catastrophes and rogue deployments" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
41% chance
Will "Speaking to Congressional staffers about AI risk" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
32% chance
Will "Deep atheism and AI risk" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
42% chance
Will "There should be more AI safety orgs" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
37% chance
Will "Talking publicly about AI risk" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "There should be more AI safety orgs" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
34% chance
Will "Many arguments for AI x-risk are wrong" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "Ways I Expect AI Regulation To Increase Extin..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
39% chance