Will "Predictable updating about AI risk" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
5
140Ṁ62resolved Feb 11
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Predictable updating about AI risk is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ80 | |
2 | Ṁ8 | |
3 | Ṁ3 |
Related questions
Related questions
Will "2023 in AI predictions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "AI catastrophes and rogue deployments" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
41% chance
Will "Many arguments for AI x-risk are wrong" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "Shallow review of technical AI safety, 2024" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "The Checklist: What Succeeding at AI Safety W..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
36% chance
Will "Towards more cooperative AI safety strategies" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
18% chance
Will "Liability regimes for AI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Danger, AI Scientist, Danger" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
7% chance
Will "A breakdown of AI capability levels focused o..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Ten arguments that AI is an existential risk" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance