Will "Deep learning models might be secretly (almos..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Basic
4
Ṁ43Feb 1
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Deep learning models might be secretly (almost) linear is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will "Deep learning models might be secretly (almos..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "My AI Model Delta Compared To Yudkowsky" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
50% chance
Will "Deep atheism and AI risk" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
42% chance
Will "Why Not Just... Build Weak AI Tools For AI Al..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "Model, Care, Execution" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "Revealing Intentionality In Language Models T..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "Model Organisms of Misalignment: The Case for..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
79% chance
Will "LeCun’s “A Path Towards Autonomous Machine In..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
18% chance
Will "Pretraining Language Models with Human Prefer..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
10% chance
Will "When can we trust model evaluations?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
20% chance