Will "Deep learning models might be secretly (almos..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ31resolved Feb 11
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Deep learning models might be secretly (almost) linear is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ4 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "Deep learning as program synthesis" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "Recent AI model progress feels mostly like bu..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "How AI Is Learning to Think in Secret" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "models have some pretty funny attractor states" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Do models say what they learn?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Small Models Can Introspect, Too" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
23% chance
Will "OpenAI #10: Reflections" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
29% chance
Will "2025 in AI predictions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Pretraining on Aligned AI Data Dramatically R..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "A deep critique of AI 2027’s bad timeline models" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
18% chance