Will "Deep Deceptiveness" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Basic
1
Ṁ10Feb 1
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Deep Deceptiveness is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and1.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will "Deep Honesty" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
26% chance
Will "Shallow review of live agendas in alignment &..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
61% chance
Will "Social Dark Matter" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
67% chance
Will "Deep atheism and AI risk" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
42% chance
Will "Assume Bad Faith" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
29% chance
Will "Most People Don't Realize We Have No Idea How..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
37% chance
Will "Towards Developmental Interpretability" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
69% chance
Will "Assume Bad Faith" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
29% chance
Will "How to Bounded Distrust" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
20% chance
Will "Against LLM Reductionism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance