Is the fully floating LK-99 video CGI or deceitfully edited?
Basic
39
Ṁ3203
resolved Jan 11
Resolved
N/A

Resolves "YES" if it turns out to be CGI, no matter if simple video edit or full scale rendering.

Resolves "NO" if it turns out to be a known phenomenon like (strong) diamagnetism

or non-CGI trickery with hidden magnets or ropes

or a new discovery according to Is the latest video of a supposed sample of LK-99 exhibiting flux pinning real? | Manifold.

Original source: https://www.douyin.com/video/7263715495256378659

Chinese discussion: https://www.zhihu.com/question/613850973/answer/3151388707

English discussion:

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predicted NO

I was not successful in my tries to contact the guy who posted this on douyin and we still have no idea. I will N/A this.

u can prob n/a this

predicted YES

Has there been any new info on this video? Are we likely to get more at this point?

predicted NO

@EvanDaniel I don't have any new information. I tried registering on douyin to contact the talking poop guy, but I could not achieve that without a Chinese phone number. I worry that we will have to N/A this.

predicted YES

@chrisjbillington The translational motion looks right, the lack of towards/away motion in the original checks out, but the rotational effects in the original aren't on display here and the very slow return to original orientation still seems weird. I think that slow return is weird for both "it's real" and any sort of hidden wire technique, which leads me to keep thinking CGI / editing is at play.

But I am definitely not an expert in video fakery.

predicted YES

@EvanDaniel I think you could achieve the rotational effect by attaching wire at two points (top and bottom)

predicted YES

@chrisjbillington very neat demonstration.
unfortunately, even if the author admits fakery, I would be surprised if they admitted exactly how they faked it, which might mean this market never resolves.

predicted YES

@chrisjbillington https://twitter.com/dmitrybrant/status/1688260271272267776 another demonstration of the same effect. I'm considering updating to a "NO", since imo this or something similar is the most likely way in which the video would be faked, if it were fake.

Shame this market differs between practical and digital effects - that seems to miss the point imo :/

although actually, it's likely that the author would still have to do some slight digital retouching even if the wire is out of focus (@dmitrybryant seemingly did this: "I made this not in a 900°C oven, but in #DaVinciResolve.")

@1111111 for one that doesn't distinguish between types of fakery, see

/chrisjbillington/is-the-latest-video-of-a-supposed-s

predicted NO

Now there are already two videos of the rotating golden poop.

How does it resolve if it's attached to strings that they rotoscoped out?

@Tater Counts as edited, I guess?

predicted NO

@LeonBohnmann in NO you listed ropes which seems the same to me

@Tater Basically if it can be captured directly with a normal camera (from this specific perspective) then it is „NO“.

predicted NO

@LeonBohnmann ah nvm I agree actually

If it is real then that's basically the same as the LK-99 paper replicating, so this seems too low to me

@WilliamHoward There might also be some electromagnetic setup outside the frame. Levitation with AC fields or diamagnets is possible, just not with such a simple setup.

@LeonBohnmann Oh wait duh I didn't read the description properly, my bad

What evidence will be acceptable? If Captain Disillusion or someone plausibly explains how it was done and points to artefacts that back that explanation up, will that be sufficient?

I think the answer to this is definitely YES, but we may never know for sure, so there's not much point betting unless non-definitive evidence will be accepted.

predicted NO

@chrisjbillington I believe a consensus will be found long before the the mid of next year. Your Captain Disillusion would be enough if that video itself is not hugely controversial.

Strings edited out would be YES?

Edit: this is already answered, ignore!

predicted NO

Can you clarify what you mean by "CGI"?

If I have the sample on a support, and edit out the support using premiere, is that "CGI"? (by traditional definitions no - there's no "generated" imagery here, but your description seems to suggest otherwise - "no matter if simple video edit or full scale rendering.")

Might be worth clarifying the title to something like "Has the video of fully floating LK-99 sample been deceitfully edited?"

predicted NO

@1111111 Yeah I meant deceitfully edited or CGI, thanks.

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