Next hype cycle after AI?
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61
Ṁ8518
resolved Sep 2
100%98.4%
AI hype cycle continues to live on
0.3%
VR/AR
0.2%
Crypto, again..
1.1%Other

The AI hype cycle is supposedly coming to it's end. Time to bet on what's coming next.

What else should I add?

Focusing on:

  • Longer-term trends (eg. superconductor was short term)

  • Software-based technologies

Ends 1 year from now (2024 September).

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Ṁ1,000
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Is it alright if I extend this market till the end of 2025?

Pinging some of the biggest holders @MayMeta @MADGAMBLER6969 @ChrisCanal

bought Ṁ500 AI hype cycle contin... YES

It's not a good idea to extend markets like this. Just resolve this market and create a new one. I would suggest a market with a target date of 2028.

okidoki

@LeoSpitz Does this market also resolve on close?

Extension wasn't on the in table in the original market description. It's a really bad idea to change the description after the market is closed. Create a new one like @becauseyoudo suggested.

@LeoSpitz It's clear that this market answered the question you wanted answered a year ago,

Please resolve and post here with the next hype cycle market.

It’s gotta be quantum computing or something like that, no?

@Santiago currently not something you can sell to consumers unlike other options.

There's definitely quantum computing grifting but it's relatively niche.

does it need to happen by close? what if AI is still coughing up dying breaths but nothing has moved in?

@LeoSpitz What were the two previous ones? Asking for clarity.

Crypto

That's as far as I can remember

For those clicking other, what do you expect next?

@LeoSpitz It's really hard to predict, since it's just a function of neurons in thousands of monkey brains firing together .. But they certainly cannot keep firing on about the same thing for long

Space is one possibility, could be spurred by the success of Starship, but I suspect it's more than one hype cycle away

I would put 1 mana on sex robots

In the hard-tech world, the space launch vehicle hype cycle is over because spacex killed all competitors, biotech hype is still going, and humanoid robots enabled by new AI robotics advances seems to be the new hotness.