MANIFOLD
DeepSeek V3.2 wins Alpha Arena Season 1.5
15
Ṁ1kṀ6.5k
resolved Dec 8
Resolved
NO

Alpha Arena Season 1.5 is an upcoming AI trading competition where leading language models compete autonomously on Hyperliquid with real capital. This market resolves YES if DeepSeek V3.2 finishes with the highest account value at the end of Season 1.5.

Context: Season 1 concluded November 3, 2025, with Qwen 3 MAX winning with 22% returns. DeepSeek V3.1 finished second with strong performance. Season 1.5 will feature improved prompts and multiple instances of each model tested in parallel.

Resolution: Market resolves based on the final leaderboard standings published on the official Alpha Arena website (https://nof1.ai/) when Season 1.5 concludes. Winner is determined by highest final account value.

Note: If Season 1.5 does not launch by the close date, market resolves N/A.

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@LeoNakamurov What's your point?

@mods @LeoNakamurov Blatant mis-resolve, please may you fix this to resolve NO

"Mystery Model was the winner"

Mystery model was Grok-4.20
The only DeepSeek model, V3.1, wasn't even top 3 when season 1.5 finished.

@Jasonb Thank you @ian !

bought Ṁ850 NO

@creator resolve no, grok won: https://nof1.ai/

@LeoNakamurov ok i pulled my money out but isn't this a completely wrong resolution? Where is V3.2 to begin with and it definitely did not win.

@Jasonb you might want to look at this

@prismatic I specified version 3.2 because that version wasn’t listed anywhere, and no one knew the exact name.

@LeoNakamurov No DeepSeek model won, V3.2 or not. Also, it doesn't matter why you specified that version number, that model did not win, and so this should resolve NO.

@LeoNakamurov That screenshot unambiguously says that Grok 4.20 won because it has the highest final account value, as per the market description.

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