MANIFOLD
Iran and Israel to establish formal diplomatic relations before the year
8
Ṁ1kṀ798
2039
August 16, 2038
20%
Before 2030
42%
Before 2035
55%
Before 2040

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if Iran and Israel establish formal diplomatic relations before each year. Formal diplomatic relations are defined as: the opening of official embassies in each other's capitals, exchange of ambassadors, or an official bilateral agreement explicitly establishing diplomatic ties recognized by both governments and the international community.

Diplomatic relations following regime change will still count.

Market context
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