Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if, within 7 days (168 hours) of this market's creation, the market creator receives a single managram (direct transfer) of 5,000 mana or more from any single Manifold user.

Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

• Source of truth: The creator's public Manifold transaction history.

• Refining rules:

  • Only direct user-to-user managrams count. Market resolutions, betting payouts, liquidity provisions, or administrative grants do not qualify.

  • Cumulative smaller transfers from one or multiple users do not count; it must be a single transaction of at least 5,000 mana.

Background

Managrams are direct peer-to-peer transfers of mana (Manifold's platform currency) between users, typically used for tipping, gifting, or trading outside of standard prediction markets. 5,000 mana is a significant transfer, equivalent to the standard purchasing cost of $50 USD on the platform. This market tracks whether a donor or trader will send the creator a single transfer of this magnitude within a one-week timeframe.

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