Will a new renewable energy technology emerge by 2030 that surpasses the efficiency of current solar or wind?
5
110แน€159
2031
20%
chance

This question seeks to predict the advancement in renewable energy technology by the year 2030, focusing specifically on whether a new technology will emerge that significantly surpasses the efficiency of current leading solar or wind energy technologies. The term "significantly surpasses" refers to a marked improvement in efficiency, which could include factors such as energy conversion rates, cost-effectiveness, scalability, and environmental impact.

Criteria for Resolution:

  • Resolution as "Yes":

    • A new renewable energy technology will be introduced and operational by December 31, 2030.

    • The technology demonstrates a significant improvement in efficiency over the best existing solar or wind technologies. This could be evidenced by higher energy conversion rates, reduced production costs, increased scalability, or lower environmental impact.

    • The breakthrough is validated in a peer-reviewed scientific study or studies, confirming the technology's advancements and efficiency gains.

    • The technology must be more than a theoretical concept; it should have a practical application or a demonstrable prototype.

  • Resolution as "No":

    • No new renewable energy technology meeting the above criteria by December 31, 2030.

    • Existing solar or wind technologies remain the most efficient options without being surpassed by other new technologies.

    • There is a lack of peer-reviewed scientific validation for any claimed breakthroughs in renewable energy technology.

Note:

  1. What is renewable energy:

  2. It is always great to see new updates on ongoing research and development in renewable energy. If you have anything to share, please leave your comments. Thank you! ๐Ÿ˜

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