Will Zjednoczona Prawica have an absolute majority in Sejm after next Polish parliamentary elections?
29
393Ṁ5124
resolved Dec 11
Resolved
NO
Zjednoczona Prawica - current Polish ruling coalition. If the coalition collapse it refers to the political party under the leadership of Jarosław Kaczyński. If JK resigns etc. it refers to the political party with Marek Suski as a member.
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

Sort by:

@Lassuch @traders What happened? Can this resolve?

predictedYES
predictedYES

duplicated

predictedYES

I think this market is way too low based on recent pooling https://www.wnp.pl/parlamentarny/sondaze/szokujacy-sondaz-olbrzymi-wzrost-poparcia-dla-pis-tylko-trzy-ugrupowania-w-sejmie,1292.html

(It's not enough to get absolute majority but it's close)

arbitrage trade with

Just to be clear - absolute majority just refers to at least 231 MPs?
predictedYES
@FranekZak Yes
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules