You wouldn’t get 50 mana if the market ended at 1 or 99%

 it’s complicated, open up the liquidity and it will show you though. Currently, at 1 trader and 45%, you’d get back 111 if you  resolved it yes and 90 if you resolved no.  

 Thanks. How are mana refunds when closing markets calculated?

At the time of this market's closing will the trader bonuses + the refunded mana from the market be greater than I started with? This market starts at 50% chance.

If the market's chance is all the way at one side or the other, the minimum amount of liquidity is refunded, which would be ???. If there are at least 34 traders, than I am guaranteed to net more than 100 Mana through trader bonuses alone.

If the market is at 50% then I could potentially be refunded all of the Mana + bonuses.

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