At the time of this market's closing will the trader bonuses + the refunded mana from the market be greater than I started with? This market starts at 50% chance.
Example:
If the market's chance is all the way at one side or the other, the minimum amount of liquidity is refunded, which would be ???. If there are at least 34 traders, than I am guaranteed to net more than 100 Mana through trader bonuses alone.
If the market is at 50% then I could potentially be refunded all of the Mana + bonuses.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ113 | |
| 2 | Ṁ19 | |
| 3 | Ṁ18 | |
| 4 | Ṁ11 | |
| 5 | Ṁ11 |
People are also trading
I don't actually know if this math is correct, but it will be validated by resolving it.
The current pool is 83 Yes and 120 No. The initial creation cost was 100 mana
14 traders have traded on this market, so this is what I would get in each case:
YES Resolution: 14*3 + 83 -100 = + 25 Mana net
NO Resolution: 14*3 + 120 - 100 = + 62 Mana net
N/A Resolution: 14*3 = + 42
In each case I come out ahead so it resolves yes.
You wouldn’t get 50 mana if the market ended at 1 or 99%
@LarsOsborne it’s complicated, open up the liquidity and it will show you though. Currently, at 1 trader and 45%, you’d get back 111 if you resolved it yes and 90 if you resolved no.
