Will we see more "verified human" accounts + increased platform surveillance by the end of 2027?
55
1.1kṀ1232
2028
91%
chance

Prediction #2 in my "Great Logging Off" market

Meta-market:
https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/how-many-of-my-predictions-in-marke-089c96830000?groupId=KgzUh68PEIltJSzCnmF2

Blog post:
https://www.fortressofdoors.com/ai-markets-for-lemons-and-the-great-logging-off

This resolves YES, if, by the end of 2027, in my sole opinion:

  1. There is a SIGNIFICANT increase in "verified human" verification systems across most online platforms

  2. Compared to ~2020, people become reliant on these systems to tell humans from bots

  3. We see significant increases in platform surveillance technology and methods of all types

    Dec 27, 12:14pm: Will we see an increased premium put on "verified human" accounts + increased platform surveillance by 2027? → Will we see an increased premium put on "verified human" accounts + increased platform surveillance by the end of 2027?

    Dec 27, 12:14pm: Will we see an increased premium put on "verified human" accounts + increased platform surveillance by the end of 2027? → Will we see more "verified human" accounts + increased platform surveillance by the end of 2027?

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