Will Lithium specifically be identified as a contaminant responsible for the modern obesity crisis?
Science•Slime Mold Time Mold (SMTM)
57
29
Ṁ755
2025
5%
chance
Related to this market: https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/will-the-contaminant-hypothesis-of Same question, but additionally LITHIUM must specifically be identified as a contaminant responsible for causing the observed obesity problems. Close date updated to 2025-04-09 11:59 pm
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bought Ṁ200 of NO
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7iAABhWpcGeP5e6SB/it-s-probably-not-lithium presents an interesting review of this hypothesis and in particular SMTM's arguments on it.
Wouldn’t make the top 100 (if anything there is less lithium than previously) Mostly about soy, seed oils, and plastics (inflammatory dysfunction), weapons-grade food engineering (no one ever got fat on milk and bread), etc.
predicts YES
Whoa big spender! Know something we don’t?
bought Ṁ1 of YES
The authors of the series seem to think so https://slimemoldtimemold.com/2021/08/02/a-chemical-hunger-part-vii-lithium/
bought Ṁ20 of NO
> Same question, but additionally LITHIUM must specifically be identified as a contaminant responsible for causing the observed obesity problems. Is there any good reason for suspecting that specifically?
bought Ṁ1 of YES
No whoops
bought Ṁ1 of NO
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