Will Lithium specifically be identified as a contaminant responsible for the modern obesity crisis?
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resolved May 25
Resolved
NO
Related to this market: https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/will-the-contaminant-hypothesis-of Same question, but additionally LITHIUM must specifically be identified as a contaminant responsible for causing the observed obesity problems. Close date updated to 2025-04-09 11:59 pm
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Slime Mold Time Mold (SMTM)
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@LarsDoucet Resolves NO, thank you.

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7iAABhWpcGeP5e6SB/it-s-probably-not-lithium presents an interesting review of this hypothesis and in particular SMTM's arguments on it.
Wouldn’t make the top 100 (if anything there is less lithium than previously) Mostly about soy, seed oils, and plastics (inflammatory dysfunction), weapons-grade food engineering (no one ever got fat on milk and bread), etc.
predictedYES
Whoa big spender! Know something we don’t?
The authors of the series seem to think so https://slimemoldtimemold.com/2021/08/02/a-chemical-hunger-part-vii-lithium/
> Same question, but additionally LITHIUM must specifically be identified as a contaminant responsible for causing the observed obesity problems. Is there any good reason for suspecting that specifically?
No whoops
Is this meant to close in 6 days?

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