Will Lex Fridman interview a guest about Georgism in 2023?
Will Lex Fridman interview a guest about Georgism in 2023?
36
670Ṁ4283resolved Jan 1
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31 2023, 11:59:59 PM CT, Lex Fridman, host of the "Lex Fridman Podcast", invites a guest onto that podcast who mentions any of these three words -- "Georgism", "Geoism", or "Land Value Tax" -- in a favorable context.
#LexFridman #Georgism #Economics #Podcast
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predictedYES 2y
@LarsDoucet - wondering if you saw this post from David Friedman? http://daviddfriedman.blogspot.com/2023/01/a-problem-with-georgism.html?m=1
predictedYES 2y
@MattCWilson Yeah I did. Looks like he just discovered “the Disneyworld scenario” as we Georgists call it.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.