Will any major known associates of Jeffrey Epstein (besides Ghislaine Maxwell) be TRIED in open court (in any jurisdiction), in either civil or criminal court, in 2022? Pre-trial settlements don't count.
Basic
16
Ṁ3163
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO
This is slightly different from my other Epstein market. This one resolves if anyone who isn't Ghislaine Maxwell (for example, Prince Andrew) faces a civil or criminal trial related to Epstein's stuff, AND that trial actually happens. If a settlement happens before the trial actually convenes, this resolves NO. If a settlement happens after the trial convenes for even a day, this resolves NO. https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/will-any-major-known-associates-of- #Epstein #Justice #Crime
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Somewhat free money, trials take ~18 months to even start
predicted NO
Gigacasting’s Law: no one is who is actually important and popular is ever indicted (Notice that R Kelly hasn’t produced an album or song since 2016; all he had to do was mix a few tracks and he’d still be free)
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