Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if any male US citizen is convicted of a sex crime related to the Jeffrey Epstein investigation. Ghislaine Maxwell was convicted of sex trafficking in December 2021 and sentenced to 20 years in prison in June 2022, but she is female. The market resolves YES if any male US citizen receives a criminal conviction for sex crimes (including but not limited to sex trafficking, sexual abuse of minors, or related offenses) in connection with the Epstein investigation. Resolution will be based on court records and official DOJ announcements. The market resolves NO if no such conviction occurs.

Background

Jeffrey Epstein was an American financier and child sex offender who was convicted of soliciting a minor for prostitution in 2008 and indicted in 2019 for sex trafficking minors in the 2000s. Epstein died by suicide in his jail cell in August 2019 while awaiting trial on federal charges. While the DOJ had been investigating people close to Epstein for potential involvement, other individuals identified were known Epstein employees, none of whom were charged. Model scout Jean-Luc Brunel, accused of sexual abuse by one of Epstein's victims, died by suicide in 2022 in Paris while under investigation for rape and sex trafficking of minors.

Considerations

Under the Epstein Files Transparency Act signed into law in November 2025, the DOJ was required to release all unclassified records related to Epstein and Maxwell within 30 days. The DOJ identified six million pages of evidence but has only released 3.5 million pages so far, including 180,000 images and 2,000 videos. As additional documents are released, new evidence could potentially lead to charges against other individuals involved in the investigation.

This description was generated by AI.