Will a new study on ATCOR be published that my econ friends think is of good quality, before 2025?
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This market resolves YES if a new study on the ATCOR effect ("All Taxes Come Out of Rent") is published, and a majority of my econ friends (defined below) agree that it is of good quality.

Here's some background on ATCOR:
https://twitter.com/larsiusprime/status/1625340068029243395

"My econ friends" consists of the following:

  • Noah Smith

  • Daryl Fairweather

  • Stephen Hoskins

  • Joey Politano

  • Arpit Gupta

  • Econoboi

(apologies to all other econ friends left off this somewhat arbitrary short list, had to cut it off somewhere)

If such a study is published, and the majority (more than half) of a quorum* of the above set agree with the statement "this is a good quality study," this market resolves YES.

If no such study is published before 2025, or a majority of a quorum of the above does not agree that it is of good quality, this market resolves NO.

*A quorum is everyone in this set who is available to read the study when it comes out and doesn't abstain from having an opinion about it. If at least 3 of them agree to give me an opinion, that constitutes a quorum.

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