This market resolves YES if a new study on the ATCOR effect ("All Taxes Come Out of Rent") is published, and a majority of my econ friends (defined below) agree that it is of good quality.
Here's some background on ATCOR:
https://twitter.com/larsiusprime/status/1625340068029243395
"My econ friends" consists of the following:
Noah Smith
Daryl Fairweather
Stephen Hoskins
Joey Politano
Arpit Gupta
Econoboi
(apologies to all other econ friends left off this somewhat arbitrary short list, had to cut it off somewhere)
If such a study is published, and the majority (more than half) of a quorum* of the above set agree with the statement "this is a good quality study," this market resolves YES.
If no such study is published before 2025, or a majority of a quorum of the above does not agree that it is of good quality, this market resolves NO.
*A quorum is everyone in this set who is available to read the study when it comes out and doesn't abstain from having an opinion about it. If at least 3 of them agree to give me an opinion, that constitutes a quorum.