
When will a (living) human first set foot on Mars?
15
1kṀ3012101
2039
expected
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves to whatever year in which a human being sets foot on the surface of the planet Mars and remains alive for at least one minute after arriving. Orbiting doesn't count, nor does landing in a spaceship and taking off again without first going out for a stroll.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a human walk on Mars before 2041?
57% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before 2044?
68% chance
Will the first person to walk on Mars be a woman?
44% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before 2040?
58% chance
When will a human first set foot on Mars?
When will the first humans set foot on Mars?
How old will the first person to step on Mars be
Who will be the first human to set foot on Mars?
When will the first humans land on Mars?
2040
When will a human land on the Mars?