Resolution criteria: I'll ask Manifold, or as soon as it becomes extremely obvious to me that they've found something that a non-trivial amount of people are willing to pay non-trivial amounts of money for on a recurring basis.

Get Ṁ600 play money

## More related questions

## Related questions

Who will be hired by Manifold before 2025?

Will Manifold be profitable before 2030?

51% chance

What will be the most popular Manifold market at the end of 2024?

Will Manifold be profitable before 2040?

64% chance

In what year will Manifold reach 1,000,000 total markets?

Will any company of at least 100 employees be using Manifold to make important decisions by the end of 2024?

33% chance

Will at least 10 for-profit corporations create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

61% chance

Will Robin Hanson create a market on Manifold by the end of 2024?

35% chance

How many Manifold markets will be created in 2024?

How will Manifold monetize its business, at the end of 2024?