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MANIFOLD
Will a G20 country legally recognize AI welfare protections or sentience-based status before 2036?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ24
2035
60%
chance

Resolves YES if a G20 country or the EU enacts a law or ruling that does either:

  • Grants Al systems protections explicitly justified by their possible sentience, consciousness, or welfare.

OR

  • Gives AI systems a legal status explicitly tied to sentience or moral patienthood.

Resolves NO otherwise. These do not count: corporate policies, non-binding resolutions, state/local laws..

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