Will Mistral's next model make it to the top 10 models in LLM Arena by the end of 2025?
Basic
4
Ṁ302025
45%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Market Description:
Mistral has been releasing competitive AI models like Pixtral 12B.
The question is whether Mistral's next model will make the top 10 on the LLM Arena leaderboard.
LLM Arena ranks large language models based on benchmarks like reasoning and multimodal tasks.
Resolution Criteria:
The market resolves YES if Mistral's next model ranks in the top 10 on LLM Arena by December 31, 2025.
The ranking must be verified from the official LLM Arena website.
If no Mistral model reaches the top 10 by the deadline, the market resolves NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Mistral AI be acquired by the end of 2024?
6% chance
Will Mistral AI company be bought by another company in 2024?
9% chance
Will Mistral AI be acquired by the end of 2025?
28% chance
How big will Mistral's known largest language model be? (2024)
Will Mistral retain its popularity/relevance in the AI opensource community till end of 2024?
80% chance
Will Mistral AI announce by the end of 2024 that they’re being acquired?
32% chance
Will China have a model in the top 10 on LMSYS Chatbot Arena on March 1, 2025?
77% chance
Will Mistral fold by 2028
34% chance
Will Mistral release an open source video generation model in 2024?
17% chance
Will a RWKV-family model take place in the top-10 of LMSYS Chatbot Arena by the end of 2024?
10% chance