Which organization will have the top model on Chatbot Arena at the end of 2024?
32
Ṁ1kṀ3.1kresolved Jan 1
50%70%
OpenAI
50%13%
Google
6%
xAI
8%
Anthropic
1.8%
Meta
0.5%
Mistral
1.5%Other
Market Description:
Chatbot Arena ranks AI models based on user interactions and performance in various natural language processing tasks.
Resolution Criteria:
The top model will be verified based on the Chatbot Arena leaderboard AT the end of 2024 (on 12-31-2024)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ174 | |
| 2 | Ṁ166 | |
| 3 | Ṁ158 | |
| 4 | Ṁ110 | |
| 5 | Ṁ86 |
People are also trading
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2027?
Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2026?
Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2028?
What will be the most-used AI chatbot by end of 2026?
Thinking Machines to top Chatbot Arena by EOY 2026?
2% chance