
Will any U.S. Senate seat scheduled for the November 2024 election be decided by fewer than 0.1% of its district votes?
4
Ṁ197Ṁ310resolved Nov 19
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The following states have one or both U.S. Senate seat(s) up for election this year in November:
Arizona
California
Connecticut
Delaware
Florida
Hawaii
Indiana
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Minnesota
Michigan
Mississippi
Missouri
North Dakota
Nebraska* (one general and one special election to replace Ben Sasse)
Nevada
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Wyoming
I will review the data from all of these elections, and once certified, will resolve this market YES if any of these elections are determined by less than 0.1% of the votes received. I will not round down; the number must be 0.001 or less.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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