If @DavidBudden uploaded something to ArXiv, will he claim it needs a revision before resolving the NS bet?
12
100Ṁ337
Jan 9
88%
chance

N/A if he didn’t actually upload anything.

Resolves YES if he implies it’s not yet complete and there’s time for him to make lots of changes.

Context:

https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-marcus-hutter-win-his-10000-be?r=S3lsZVk

Market context
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