If @DavidBudden uploaded something to ArXiv, will he claim it needs a revision before resolving the NS bet?
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Ṁ100Ṁ1.6kJan 9
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N/A if he didn’t actually upload anything.
Resolves YES if he implies it’s not yet complete and there’s time for him to make lots of changes.
Context:
https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-marcus-hutter-win-his-10000-be?r=S3lsZVk
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bought Ṁ20 NO
He claims to have uploaded to arXiv. But he also says he lost the bet because arXiv didn't let the submission go through. So shouldn't this immediately resolve no?
https://manifold.markets/retr0id/did-davidbudden-submit-a-navierstok?tab=comments#t5ldayi5gq
https://x.com/davidmbudden/status/2008026770969358369
Resolved. I hope the arbitragers among you have fast fingers!