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If @DavidBudden uploaded something to ArXiv, will he claim it needs a revision before resolving the NS bet?
24
Ṁ100Ṁ1.6k
Jan 9
53%
chance

N/A if he didn’t actually upload anything.

Resolves YES if he implies it’s not yet complete and there’s time for him to make lots of changes.

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https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-marcus-hutter-win-his-10000-be?r=S3lsZVk

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@creator resolves N/A

bought Ṁ20 NO

He claims to have uploaded to arXiv. But he also says he lost the bet because arXiv didn't let the submission go through. So shouldn't this immediately resolve no?

https://manifold.markets/retr0id/did-davidbudden-submit-a-navierstok?tab=comments#t5ldayi5gq

https://x.com/davidmbudden/status/2008026770969358369

Resolved. I hope the arbitragers among you have fast fingers!

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