Will Manifold users believe they have recovered from TDS in 2028? | Manifold

Will Manifold users believe they have recovered from TDS in 2028?

Plus

6

Ṁ323

2028

68%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

I will run a poll of Manifold users who identfied as Democrats in 2024 (poll will occur in 2028) asking whether they feel they suffered from any form of Trump derangement syndrome between 2016 and 2024.

Will more than 50% claim that they did?

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Presumably in order to have 'recovered' they must have both suffered in the past and not suffer in the present (at time of resolution)?

@TheAllMemeingEye You are betting on the results of a poll done on Manifold in 2028 that says:

Do you feel you suffered any form of TDS between 2016 and 2024.

Interpretation of that will be done by voters.

@Krantz So it's not about recovery then? Seems the market title should be changed to match that

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