Who are you aligned with?
12
3.2kṀ11k
2100
97%
Mark Manson
96%
Adam M. Curry
96%
Jaan Tallinn
96%
Eric Czuleger
95%
David Hume
94%
Audrey Tang
94%
Scott Aaronson
94%
Rick Rubin
94%
Liron Shapira
94%
Andrew Bustamonte
94%
Graham Handcock
94%
Andrew Gallimore
94%
Hamilton Morris
94%
Zach De La Rocha
94%
KRS-1
93%
David Shapiro
93%
Roger Penrose
93%
Max Tegmark
93%
Rob Miles
93%
Connor Leahy

Alignment mechanism.

Please don't wager more than 99 mana on any single individual.

99 mana for 'no' represents max unaligment.

99 mana for 'yes' represents max alignment.

The purpose of this prediction is to publicly indicate which individuals we are aligned with.

Alignment is measured by the variance between confidence and value amongst the propositions contained in Krantz (https://manifold.markets/Krantz/krantz-mechanism-demonstration?r=S3JhbnR6).

This prediction does not resolve. It's a communication tool for users to express who they align with to measure our progress on aligning humanity. If everyone aligns with everyone, we've achieved world peace. If everyone disagrees with everyone we are a world at war. I figure there's an economic market for virtue signaling your compatibility with the rest of humanity.

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This market has the reverse problem to the other market that is supposed to be predictive. There is no way for more than two people to indicate 99 mana approval, at least I don't think so.

@JussiVilleHeiskanen Is there someone your unable to wager 99 mana on? You should be able to.

BTW, it is categorically untrue that if everyone aligns with everyone we are at peace. You can align with your adversary.

@JussiVilleHeiskanen I think I might be using a more rigorous definition of "aligns". If every person has the exact same confidence and value for every proposition that exists, there are no conflicts. Be clear that I'm not claiming this is acheiveable, only able to be approximated.

What definition are you using for "aligns".

Hmm. To accurately indicate on this market, I would have to use all my mana...

how will you resolve these answers?

@remedyrain They don't resolve. It's an alignment market. It only works if people refrain from wagering more than 100 mana at a time. Wish there were a way to enforce that.

@Krantz alright i see thanks.

How do I know people are telling the truth with their input here?

Do I have to trust them?

How do we prevent bad actors from lying?

@Quroe It's a survey. If someone wants to lie about their opinion, the cost is simply looking dumb. (Having society misunderstand your beliefs). I'm trying to pay people for expressing their beliefs, not test whether their beliefs are objectively correct. I think you might be overcomplicating it.

@Krantz How are you paying people if this never resolves?

@MachiNi If I respect someone and want to solicit their general opinion of this list of individuals I will directly send them mana to place on this market so I can see those evaluations. I think more people should consider that.

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