What will be true about safe AI?
3
250Ṁ6352050
78%
It's mechanistically interpretable
65%
Nobody owns it
65%
It is aligned by a constitution
65%
Sovereign individuals can earn a living by aligning it
65%
It is fairly steered by us competing to align it
52%
It's not machine learning based
50%
It is symbolic GOFAI
34%
It's source code exists as a market
When all the alignment researchers agree that we've achieved "provably safe AI" that demonstrably poses no existential risk, what properties will that AI have?
Similar in spirit to this prediction:
https://manifold.markets/Krantz/what-will-be-true-about-the-person-R9tEgLhOOp?r=S3JhbnR6
Will resolve when Eliezer Yudkowsky agrees we've achieved "provably safe AI".
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will someone commit terrorism against an AI lab by the end of 2025 for AI-safety related reasons?
12% chance
When artificial general intelligence (AGI) exists, what will be true?
Will Trump's first year of presidency be positive for AI safety?
18% chance
What will be true of Safe Superintelligence Inc.? [Add Answers]
Will AI be considered safe in 2030? (resolves to poll)
72% chance
What AI safety incidents will occur in 2025?
Will Anthropic be the best on AI safety among major AI labs at the end of 2025?
92% chance
10. The first real AI safety incident will occur.
42% chance
Will there be serious AI safety drama at Meta AI before 2026?
23% chance
Which AI future will we get?