What will be true about safe AI?
3
Ṁ250Ṁ645resolved Nov 23
Resolved
N/AIt's mechanistically interpretable
Resolved
N/AIt is aligned by a constitution
Resolved
N/ANobody owns it
Resolved
N/ASovereign individuals can earn a living by aligning it
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N/AIt is fairly steered by us competing to align it
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N/AIt's not machine learning based
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N/AIt is symbolic GOFAI
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N/AThe constitution that aligns it is kept aligned by the game theoretic principles of a free and open decentralized market.
Resolved
N/AIt's source code exists as a market
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NOIt is Krantz
When all the alignment researchers agree that we've achieved "provably safe AI" that demonstrably poses no existential risk, what properties will that AI have?
Similar in spirit to this prediction:
https://manifold.markets/Krantz/what-will-be-true-about-the-person-R9tEgLhOOp?r=S3JhbnR6
Will resolve when Eliezer Yudkowsky agrees we've achieved "provably safe AI".
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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