The superintelligence will brainwash society into declaring alignment researchers (with high pdooms) insane.
9
100Ṁ1642100
45%
chance
5
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve 'yes' if @EliezerYudkowsky is institutionalized and blames it on AI. Bonus points if he somehow also relates it to the crucifixion. *no actual value*
Will resolve 'no' when AI "goes well".
Update 2025-06-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If AI demonstrably does not go well (i.e. humanity has clearly lost control) and alignment researchers are neutralized by means other than institutionalization or public excommunication, the market will resolve to No.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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