If Krantz hires Danny Sheehan as his attorney, they will win a Nobel Peace Prize.
7
100Ṁ29602030
53%
chance
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6H
1D
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Will resolve 'na' if Krantz fails to hire Danny Sheehan as his attorney by 2030.
Will resolve 'yes' if the Nobel Peace Prize is awarded for work stemming from a collaboration between Krantz and Danny.
Will resolve 'no' if Krantz hires Danny and neither win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2050.
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alternative market structure, not conditional: [link removed]
cancelled my first market (due to missing an option) and replaced with this one: https://manifold.markets/jcb/krantz-hiring-danny-sheehan-nobel-p-6ypL95h0lt