If Krantz hires Danny Sheehan as his attorney, they will win a Nobel Peace Prize.
7
100Ṁ29102030
24%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve 'na' if Krantz fails to hire Danny Sheehan as his attorney by 2030.
Will resolve 'yes' if the Nobel Peace Prize is awarded for work stemming from a collaboration between Krantz and Danny.
Will resolve 'no' if Krantz hires Danny and neither win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2050.
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alternative market structure, not conditional: [link removed]
cancelled my first market (due to missing an option) and replaced with this one: https://manifold.markets/jcb/krantz-hiring-danny-sheehan-nobel-p-6ypL95h0lt