Guessing Game: What propositions does Krantz believe?

6.7kṀ60

2100

55%

It would be helpful if every important thought leader had a prediction similar to this to formalize their positions on complicated issues.

52%

Aligning AI is a job everyone should have the right to earn a living by doing.

51%

I'm trying to get people to help me write the constitution of truth for AI.

51%

I am trying to pay you to help me map my beliefs.

50%

This is Krantz data.

50%

Krantz data is money.

50%

I believe everybody doing this is the solution to alignment.

50%

We could trun X into a machine that allows us to print our own crypto by doing philosophy and arguing about literally everything.

50%

The main thing we need to do to solve alignment and game theoretic peace is to get all the important philosophers in the world to start talking in analytic English instead of continental English, so we can map our language properly.

50%

Wiggenstien was right the first time and everyone's personal truth is compatible.

50%

Financial and physical oppression and war are side effects of not being able to communicate effectively.

50%

If we simply allowed every real person to securely evaluate every interpretable fact and treated that data as money, all other problems could be solved instrumentally using that process.

50%

Humanity should pivot from (converting oil into artificial intelligence capabilities) to (converting mechanistically interpretable human cognitive labor into decentralized constitutional parameters for guiding collective intelligence).

50%

If the X platform was used primarily as a decentralized mechanism for minting Krantz data, kids could earn a retirement before the age of 23 by getting a sovereign education independently.

49%

I am challenging all the analytic philosophers on Manifold to an argument about whatever topic they choose.

45%

Krantz is the abstract composition of all the data that would be contained in a collection of predictions like this from every thought leader.

Same concept as this market, where you guess a fact about a person:

https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/isaac-kings-guessing-game

But where you instead try to guess which propositions in philosophy Krantz believes, like this market:

https://manifold.markets/Krantz/krantz-mechanism-demonstration

Will resolve at my discretion after wagering levels off.

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Here are some hints to get you started:

https://x.com/therealkrantz/status/1892551363084574802?t=gGY7P-r-4ZvZA3iTclYwzw&s=19

bought Ṁ10 YES

All of them sound vaguely like talking points I've heard you say a lot but the original piece is so long and hard to understand that I'm not sure if the exact wordings of the options have been slightly changed so that they're narrowly not true anymore 🤔

@TheAllMemeingEye Happy to clarify any questions in the comments.

@Krantz could you write a 1-3 paragraph layman language explanation of the Krantz mechanism?

i.e. don't use any phrases you wouldn't expect an average English speaking person to already understand, certainly don't use any phrases you've invented or redefined, do a Toki-Pona-ing / Yudkowskian-tabooing ( https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/WBdvyyHLdxZSAMmoz/taboo-your-words ) if need be. Existing explanations you've shared seem to be either extremely long or include a bunch of opaque invented/redefined language e.g. krantz-x, constitution, ledger, collective intelligence etc.

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