MANIFOLD
Will the next permanent CEO of OpenAI reach out to Eliezer Yudkowsky within their first 100 days?
56
Ṁ1kṀ7.4k
resolved Aug 24
Resolved
N/A

If it's unclear, @EliezerYudkowsky will be the final arbiter on whether a certain action counts as "reaching out." If it's unclear and Eliezer does not help clarify, this will resolve N/A.

The person who is considered the "next permanent CEO" will be determined by this market's resolution. If the market resolves to "none - position will cease to exist" then this market will resolve to N/A.

UPDATE: The next permanent CEO is almost certainly going to be Sam Altman, but the 100 days will not commence until the market settles.

Market context
OpenAI
AI Safety
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Effective Altruism
OpenAI Crisis
Sam Altman
AI Regulation
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@KnowNothing presumably this should resolve NA by now unless you are still trying to reach Eliezer.

@mods inactive creator, seems like it should resolve NO

As per description: "If it's unclear and Eliezer does not help clarify, this will resolve N/A."

opened a Ṁ16 YES at 5% order

Exit order at 5%.

@EliezerYudkowsky can you provide a confirmation, one way or the other? Otherwise, I will resolve this N/A.

bought Ṁ50 YES

I feel like 10:1 is underrating the messaging win of being able to explicitly point to this specific metric as being an example of how <new leadership> will do things different from <old leadership>, regardless of whether it actually signals any underlying interest in safety/what some fanfic author thinks

the current favorite:

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