This will resolve to yes if there is a false flag in New York before January 1 2027. Otherwise, it will resolve no. This must be a significant false flag with obvious political motives. (e.g. 9/11, what happens on the Kashmir border).
Will be resolved at my discretion. I will try to resolve this accurately and reasonably.
Update 2025-11-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A false flag requires the event to be faked or staged. An organic exodus of people leaving New York would not qualify as a false flag, even if politically significant. Only if such an exodus were fabricated with actors or false information would it potentially count (subject to creator's discretion).
Update 2025-11-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator clarifies that 9/11 would only count as a false flag if it were staged. The example was listed because it was used as political justification for Middle East interventions, but the market requires events to actually be faked or staged to qualify as false flags.
1,000People are also trading
@CollinMatthews (technically only would count if staged) but i listed it cause it was used as a political motive to go crazy in the middle east
@CraigDemel If someone faked the exodus (like with actors or false information), then it might be yes (with discretion), but if it wasn't faked, then no.