Will Curtis Yarvin publish a new book by the end of 2025?
8
140Ṁ18082026
98.7%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Reissues of existing works don't count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Yudkowsky and Soares' book get on the NYT bestseller list in 2025?
58% chance
Will one of Tom Chivers' books (eg AI does not hate you) appear on Lighthaven bookshelves by EOY2026?
51% chance
Will Worst Boyfriend Ever announce a book deal in 2025?
33% chance
Will Eharding find a historian to write a book with by the end of 2025?
9% chance
Will Nassim Taleb publish a new book in 2025?
40% chance
Will Lil Yachty release another rock album by then end of 2025
20% chance
Will Joe Biden publish an autobiography by the end of 2030?
43% chance
Will Sonja Lang publish a new book by the end of February 2026?
93% chance
Will Gwern publish a standalone book in print form by December 31, 2026?
20% chance
Will Taylor Swift publish a book before the end of 2040?
62% chance