Will a new crypto memecoin reach $100 billion in market cap in 2025?
87
1kṀ13k2026
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is Kevin's high-confidence prediction from the 1/3/25 episode of the "Hard Fork" podcast.
Market will resolve to yes if a crypto memecoin created in 2025 reaches $100 billion in market cap by the end of the year, even briefly. Otherwise, it resolves to no.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
@KevinRoose18ac I'm selling my entire position because of this change; I thought memecoins created near the end of 2024 such as GOAT counted.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in 2025?
43% chance
Will a memecoin created by pump.fun reach 5 billion market cap by the end of 2025? (Crypto Bitcoin BTC)
50% chance
Will any cryptocurrency have a market cap of at least $100 billion at the end of 2026?
95% chance
Which cryptocurrencies will have a market cap of at least $100 billion at the end of 2026?
Will cryptocurrency (e.g., Bitcoin) reach $200,000 before the end of 2025?
14% chance
Will the total cryptocurrency market cap drop below 500 billion USD before 2025?
4% chance
Will any cryptocurrency have a higher market cap than Bitcoin on Jan. 1st, 2030?
14% chance
Will any cryptocurrency surpass the market caps of both Bitcoin and Ethereum before 2035?
14% chance
Which Celebrity will launch their own memecoin before July 2025?
Which cryptocurrency price will perform best in 2025?