This market resolves YES if any cryptocurrency reaches a market capitalization of $5 trillion or more at any point before January 1, 2035.
Resolution criteria:
Market cap must be visible on a widely recognized data source such as CoinMarketCap, CoinGecko, Messari, or a major financial index provider.
Intraday spikes count — if a reputable source shows a $5T+ market cap even briefly, the market resolves YES.
Any crypto qualifies (BTC, ETH, stablecoins, new coins, etc.).
Fully diluted valuation does not count. Only circulating market cap is used.
Synthetic, untradeable, or purely theoretical assets do not count.
This market resolves NO if no cryptocurrency reaches a $5T market cap before 2035.
Notes:
If data sources disagree, the median of CoinMarketCap + CoinGecko + one major financial index will be used.
If a chain rebrands, forks, or merges, the successor asset’s market cap counts as long as it is recognized as the continuation of the original chain by major data providers.
If crypto markets cease to exist or data becomes unavailable, the market resolves N/A.