MANIFOLD
Will any crypto hit a $5T market cap before 2035
0
Ṁ100
2034
15%
chance

This market resolves YES if any cryptocurrency reaches a market capitalization of $5 trillion or more at any point before January 1, 2035.

Resolution criteria:

  • Market cap must be visible on a widely recognized data source such as CoinMarketCap, CoinGecko, Messari, or a major financial index provider.

  • Intraday spikes count — if a reputable source shows a $5T+ market cap even briefly, the market resolves YES.

  • Any crypto qualifies (BTC, ETH, stablecoins, new coins, etc.).

  • Fully diluted valuation does not count. Only circulating market cap is used.

  • Synthetic, untradeable, or purely theoretical assets do not count.

This market resolves NO if no cryptocurrency reaches a $5T market cap before 2035.

Notes:

  • If data sources disagree, the median of CoinMarketCap + CoinGecko + one major financial index will be used.

  • If a chain rebrands, forks, or merges, the successor asset’s market cap counts as long as it is recognized as the continuation of the original chain by major data providers.

  • If crypto markets cease to exist or data becomes unavailable, the market resolves N/A.

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